Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.164547 0.195321 0.229842 0.271378 0.319938 0.374852 0.441602
2025-06-15 0.121205 0.161243 0.211078 0.277413 0.363120 0.469823 0.612416
2025-06-22 0.095315 0.138175 0.195841 0.278570 0.393596 0.547158 0.766866
2025-06-29 0.076570 0.119302 0.180654 0.274311 0.412629 0.608108 0.903691
2025-07-06 0.063081 0.104745 0.168079 0.270150 0.428988 0.664758 1.038562
2025-07-13 0.056135 0.098591 0.166446 0.281102 0.467811 0.756932 1.234358
2025-07-20 0.052301 0.096613 0.170688 0.301252 0.522603 0.878422 1.487384
2025-07-27 0.047738 0.092510 0.170597 0.313811 0.565935 0.985590 1.728062
2025-08-03 0.041851 0.084991 0.163413 0.312899 0.585834 1.055621 1.913702
2025-08-10 0.035496 0.075502 0.151253 0.301216 0.584943 1.089493 2.039977
2025-08-17 0.029769 0.066260 0.138165 0.285852 0.575075 1.105841 2.135856
2025-08-24 0.026881 0.062333 0.134737 0.288437 0.598838 1.184623 2.351730
2025-08-31 0.022877 0.055568 0.125086 0.278233 0.598362 1.221654 2.500391
2025-09-07 0.020848 0.052863 0.123533 0.284621 0.632142 1.328311 2.795123
2025-09-14 0.018673 0.049413 0.119827 0.285825 0.655226 1.416169 3.061737
2025-09-21 0.016406 0.045310 0.114005 0.281463 0.665738 1.479411 3.284650
2025-09-28 0.014460 0.041639 0.108595 0.277199 0.675766 1.542376 3.512948
2025-10-05 0.013638 0.040756 0.109718 0.288422 0.722030 1.686999 3.928922
2025-10-12 0.013363 0.041312 0.114477 0.309066 0.792518 1.891230 4.493839
2025-10-19 0.012700 0.040653 0.116036 0.321932 0.845954 2.062562 5.001677
2025-10-26 0.011483 0.038155 0.112397 0.320998 0.865645 2.158994 5.349002
2025-11-02 0.009972 0.034466 0.104965 0.309029 0.856289 2.186846 5.540370
2025-11-09 0.008522 0.030665 0.096598 0.293288 0.835232 2.184518 5.659941